A
Profile of the Carter Administration
February
19th is Presidents' Day. In honor of that day, we are taking the
month of February to look more closely at our Presidents' in a
series of profiles. The first - a profile by Larry Sakin of Carter's
administration. If you have a favorite president or one you love
to hate, send your profiles and letters to the editor of We! [There
is a link on the front page of every issue].
by Larry Sakin
February 6, 2007
The editor of We! contacted
me about a week ago, asking me to write up a profile of a favorite
past President. Few former chief executives fit this description
because the enormity of the job almost beckons tragic blunder
and horrifying consequences. However, some presidential administrations
offer some great lessons for future office holders, and learning
from the past is a fine way to chart a better course for our country.
One of the best presidential
administrations we can learn from is our thirty-ninth, the one
belonging to James Earl "Jimmy" Carter.
Carter's presidency
wasn't spectacular. He inherited a lot of problems from his predecessors
that loomed large by lack of action on the part of his staff and
a Congress unwilling to play ball with his major initiatives.
Carter also made a number of disastrous decisions during his term,
including allowing the Shah of Iran to enter the U.S. after he
was deposed by hard-line Islamic fundamentalists, the 1980 rescue
attempt of American hostages held at the American Embassy in Tehran.
On the domestic front, Carter did a good job bolstering the social
security system, but de-regulated oil, trucking, airline, rail,
finance, and communications industries.
Carter was faced with
a stagnating economy and consumer price inflation, (known as "stagflation")
due to huge debt incurred by the war with Vietnam. The nation
was faced with double-digit inflation, coupled with very high
interest rates, high unemployment and slow economic growth. President
Richard Nixon attempted to talk down inflationary prices during
his term, and set an extremely ineffective price freeze policy
for the nation. The economy steadily worsened through the last
months of Nixon's term and into the one occupied by Nixon's hand
picked successor, Gerald R. Ford. Carter's inability to get a
hold on the domestic economy led to the prime lending rate rising
to an unprecedented 21.5%.
This is significant
because with our current war in Iraq, the nation is facing similar
circumstances. An insurmountable debt is growing each day, and
we're experiencing very slow economic growth. Those two factors
will lead to the third rung of Carter's debacle, higher unemployment
rates. The Bush Administration is adding fuel to the fire by keeping
interest rates and taxes low. Bush believes he can justify his
wild-eyed spending by slashing the budgets of social welfare programs.
But this is a pipe dream, because social welfare programs make
up only a tiny fraction of the debt load.
Whoever succeeds Bush
is going to have an economic mess on their hands, much like Carter
did. It will be impossible to keep lending rates artificially
low as the country moves to service debt. Without a growing economy,
revenues will shortfall, and a raise in interest rates and price
inflation will be inevitable. Stagflation, here we come.
It's ironic, because
the very crises that Republican administrations chose to ignore
back in the early to mid-seventies led to the so-called Reagan
Revolution of the 1980's. True to form, Reagan allowed the country
to enter another term on economic malaise, and passed it along
to George H. W. Bush, who allowed it to fester. It took some deep
cuts in necessary federal programs by Bill Clinton and the huge
growth of the high tech industry to temporarily get the economy
on its feet again.
If a democratic candidate
is elected to the presidency in 2008, s/he cannot make the same
mistakes Carter did. It will be vital for them to tackle the economic
impact of the George W. Bush administration immediately to stave
off the onslaught of his poor economic policies. Otherwise another
Reagan-like revolution may be in the offing for 2012.
While the Carter Administration
was dealt a bad hand, solid policy would have lessened the blow
of the economic tidal wave that cast our country adrift. But their
inept approach to domestic matters could be the historical reference
a future executive needs to stem the tide that's currently mounting.
Foresight is a rare gift for politicians to possess, but learning
from the mistakes of predecessors can improve the vision of future
leaders intensely.